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Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 25?

data as of 2026-02-25 11:46 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$204−$8.2K$8.4K
Holders48−3078
Trades271−8279
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.3%
−55.0 pp
89.3%
Avg ROI18.6%
+16.3 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×27.60
+26.63×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×25.88
+24.91×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$33
−$3.6K
$3.6K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.01
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−98.8 pp
2.5%
Underwater %99.0%
+91.1 pp
7.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.8%
+31.6 pp
5.2%
Bot %37.7%
+34.5 pp
3.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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