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Will Jara win by at least 15%?

data as of 2025-11-13 21:34 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$166−$9.0K$9.1K
Holders38−209247
Trades484+138346
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.2%
−25.4 pp
73.5%
Avg ROI9.9%
+7.0 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.06
+0.08×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.40
+2.45×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$39
$39
Recent buyer dominance0.56
−0.44
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-70.1%
−75.6 pp
5.5%
Underwater %74.6%
+49.7 pp
25.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.2%
−2.2 pp
56.4%
Bot %54.2%
−4.1 pp
58.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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