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Will Minerva Torres Shelton win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?

data as of 2026-06-27 10:59 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Nov 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
8¢
NO
91¢
YES
8¢
YesY-NNo
Position$399−$1.0K$1.4K
Holders39+318
Trades83+6815
NO
91¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.4%
−39.4 pp
78.8%
Avg ROI10.2%
+10.5 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.59
+1.78×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.75
+1.91×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$103
−$301
$404
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.06
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-63.6%
−82.9 pp
19.3%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.7%
+0.9 pp
67.8%
Bot %71.0%
+3.2 pp
67.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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