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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10PM ET

data as of 2025-09-19 02:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$2.9K$13K
Holders53+1043
Trades729−3041.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
−9.9 pp
62.0%
Avg ROI0.4%
+4.4 pp
-4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.33
+12.61×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.05
+12.35×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10
−$1.4K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.57
−0.14
0.71
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.2%
−134.5 pp
42.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+97.1 pp
2.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.3%
−31.2 pp
76.4%
Bot %45.8%
−30.5 pp
76.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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