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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

data as of 2026-02-16 03:05 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$4.3K$19K
Holders501+182319
Trades4.2K+4543.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.1%
−35.1 pp
64.2%
Avg ROI17.4%
+12.5 pp
5.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.82
+38.32×
×0.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×37.49
+36.92×
×0.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.1K
−$610
$14.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.01
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.0%
−186.9 pp
89.9%
Underwater %86.6%
+86.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.4%
−16.7 pp
62.1%
Bot %44.5%
−3.4 pp
47.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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