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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-25 18:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K+$7.9K$3.3K
Holders204−74278
Trades1.1K−2911.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.4%
+3.1 pp
49.3%
Avg ROI2.2%
+0.8 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−7.03×
×7.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.78
−8.36×
×9.14
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.4K
+$7.4K
$3.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL28.5%
+118.4 pp
-89.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.5 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.0%
+1.7 pp
22.3%
Bot %73.0%
+14.6 pp
58.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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