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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on April 18?

data as of 2026-04-18 16:05 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$350−$5.1K$5.5K
Holders111−22133
Trades761+158603
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.9%
−36.5 pp
77.4%
Avg ROI8.5%
+7.8 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.90
+4.96×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.04
+5.10×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$198
$200
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-84.9%
−91.3 pp
6.4%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.1%
+13.4 pp
14.7%
Bot %28.1%
+13.4 pp
14.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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