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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

data as of 2026-06-30 06:08 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.0K−$4.8K$5.9K
Holders78−1593
Trades509−118627
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.0%
−5.9 pp
54.0%
Avg ROI0.4%
−3.4 pp
3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.50
+15.67×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.59
+15.83×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$283
−$3.0K
$3.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.2%
−124.4 pp
30.2%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.9%
−14.4 pp
60.3%
Bot %83.2%
+4.3 pp
78.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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