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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET

data as of 2025-10-26 18:41 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$1.4K$13K
Holders71−42113
Trades8.9K+7.1K1.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.0%
−26.0 pp
79.0%
Avg ROI1.2%
−21.0 pp
22.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.71
−16.95×
×17.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−18.26×
×18.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.1K
+$1.9K
$154
Recent buyer dominance0.86
+0.05
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL40.6%
+135.0 pp
-94.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.7%
+39.8 pp
35.9%
Bot %74.5%
+40.2 pp
34.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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