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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-03 23:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$42K+$31K$12K
Holders287−121408
Trades4.0K−9105.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.2%
+21.9 pp
31.3%
Avg ROI3.1%
−2.4 pp
5.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−18.16×
×18.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−17.52×
×18.30
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$30.0K
+$19.3K
$10.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.05
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL28.3%
+122.5 pp
-94.2%
Underwater %3.9%
−91.7 pp
95.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %86.3%
+10.6 pp
75.6%
Bot %85.4%
+19.0 pp
66.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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