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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

data as of 2025-12-25 13:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K+$3.6K$20K
Holders278+19259
Trades3.8K+3973.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.2%
+3.3 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI1.7%
−4.8 pp
6.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.46
−24.03×
×24.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.45
−24.65×
×25.11
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.7K
+$1.8K
$7.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.01
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL116.7%
+212.6 pp
-95.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.7%
+2.5 pp
59.2%
Bot %64.5%
−3.1 pp
67.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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