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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 24?

data as of 2026-04-24 04:17 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$166−$4.8K$5.0K
Holders96096
Trades499+165334
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.8%
−54.5 pp
83.2%
Avg ROI5.0%
+4.7 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.50
+4.52×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.26
+6.29×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.50
+0.50
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.8%
−90.7 pp
2.9%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.5 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.7%
+8.8 pp
2.9%
Bot %15.8%
+12.9 pp
2.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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