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Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

data as of 2026-05-19 23:13 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$743K−$417K$1.16M
Holders2.2K+1.3K896
Trades11K−54812K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.1%
+0.2 pp
57.8%
Avg ROI3.5%
−1.4 pp
4.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×29.12
+28.59×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×31.55
+31.03×
×0.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$80
−$749
$829
Recent buyer dominance0.53
+0.01
0.52
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−189.4 pp
92.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.6%
+14.3 pp
11.3%
Bot %9.0%
−2.8 pp
11.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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