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Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

data as of 2026-06-19 19:50 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
30¢
NO
72¢
YES
30¢
YesY-NNo
Position$8.2K−$17K$25K
Holders131+3128
Trades1.1K−2131.3K
NO
72¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.1%
−10.3 pp
54.3%
Avg ROI4.4%
+2.9 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.08×
×1.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.03
+0.04×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$217
+$406
−$189
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-9.2%
−8.4 pp
-0.7%
Underwater %52.8%
−6.9 pp
59.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.1%
−24.8 pp
36.9%
Bot %17.9%
−23.9 pp
41.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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