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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

data as of 2026-02-20 01:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$4.3K$21K
Holders497+95402
Trades4.4K+5433.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.5%
−26.9 pp
53.3%
Avg ROI-3.0%
−8.8 pp
5.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.70
+20.21×
×0.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.55
+14.99×
×0.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.8K
+$4.4K
$11.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.07
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.3%
−193.5 pp
99.2%
Underwater %79.6%
+79.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.4%
−15.1 pp
68.4%
Bot %53.3%
+2.6 pp
50.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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