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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

data as of 2026-03-20 21:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.8K−$25K$35K
Holders389+19370
Trades4.2K+5343.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.6%
−11.3 pp
54.9%
Avg ROI-1.9%
−3.3 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.19
+9.42×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.95
+10.21×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.5K
−$16.5K
$25.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.8%
−122.2 pp
31.4%
Underwater %98.2%
+97.8 pp
0.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.5%
+0.4 pp
73.1%
Bot %72.5%
+0.9 pp
71.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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