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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on April 25?

data as of 2026-04-24 23:47 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$10−$469$479
Holders16+313
Trades144+9153
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate10.5%
−76.7 pp
87.2%
Avg ROI11.5%
+10.9 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.00
+4.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.78
+8.79×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.50
+0.50
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.8%
−91.9 pp
2.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.7%
+34.2 pp
4.6%
Bot %58.1%
+53.5 pp
4.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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