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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 01:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10.0K+$6.2K$3.8K
Holders139+18121
Trades1.2K−1691.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.0%
+7.2 pp
48.8%
Avg ROI5.4%
−0.1 pp
5.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.74
−28.13×
×28.87
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−26.25×
×27.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.0K
+$3.7K
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.05
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL31.5%
+127.8 pp
-96.3%
Underwater %5.7%
−89.0 pp
94.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.4%
+0.9 pp
44.5%
Bot %61.8%
+6.8 pp
54.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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