Markets › detail

Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?

data as of 2026-01-16 18:24 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$22K−$140K$162K
Holders653+296357
Trades8.8K+2.1K6.7K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.3%
−29.5 pp
82.9%
Avg ROI8.3%
+3.8 pp
4.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×58.52
+57.62×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×52.89
+51.96×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$451
$456
Recent buyer dominance0.74
+0.20
0.54
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.6%
−106.7 pp
8.1%
Underwater %98.2%
+94.5 pp
3.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.9%
−40.0 pp
56.9%
Bot %16.5%
−40.3 pp
56.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse