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Will the highest temperature in Miami be 74°F or higher on January 30?

data as of 2026-01-30 12:19 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$205−$9.6K$9.8K
Holders38−1250
Trades218+57161
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.3%
−31.8 pp
71.1%
Avg ROI15.1%
+4.2 pp
10.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.18
−0.90×
×1.08
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.38
−0.69×
×1.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$71
−$702
$773
Recent buyer dominance0.99
−0.01
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL170.2%
+176.0 pp
-5.8%
Underwater %1.2%
−97.7 pp
98.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.2%
+3.3 pp
41.9%
Bot %44.3%
+2.4 pp
41.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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