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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

data as of 2025-12-20 12:27 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.7K−$25K$35K
Holders236+47189
Trades2.9K+3912.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.1%
−11.2 pp
56.3%
Avg ROI1.6%
−0.9 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.22
+6.45×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.60
+6.87×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.2K
−$6.1K
$7.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.10
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.8%
−124.1 pp
37.3%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.9%
+9.0 pp
65.9%
Bot %74.9%
+8.6 pp
66.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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