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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2PM ET

data as of 2026-03-08 18:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$63K$75K
Holders215−22237
Trades3.6K+5363.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.0%
−5.7 pp
54.7%
Avg ROI15.9%
+2.0 pp
13.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.63
+23.86×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.22
+23.44×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$181
−$957
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.32
0.64
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.2%
−125.2 pp
29.0%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.0%
−10.9 pp
73.9%
Bot %60.6%
−10.7 pp
71.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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