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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 03:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$8.3K$3.4K
Holders219+9210
Trades1.4K−601.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
+2.1 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI1.2%
−4.5 pp
5.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.83
−3.83×
×4.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.82
−3.99×
×4.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.2K
+$8.2K
$3.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL26.6%
+109.2 pp
-82.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.4%
−0.2 pp
46.5%
Bot %68.5%
+10.6 pp
57.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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