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Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

data as of 2026-02-21 18:05 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.2K−$36K$38K
Holders142+8359
Trades1.2K+395834
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−6.2 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI1.4%
−2.2 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.00
+17.06×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.79
+16.87×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26
−$3.5K
$3.5K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
−0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.3%
−102.8 pp
8.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.3%
−48.5 pp
57.8%
Bot %9.4%
−48.4 pp
57.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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