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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

data as of 2026-02-19 05:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K−$4.1K$32K
Holders378+69309
Trades5.8K−3286.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.3%
−4.0 pp
51.3%
Avg ROI0.5%
+1.3 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.98
+38.48×
×0.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×41.68
+41.20×
×0.47
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.9K
−$3.1K
$6.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.19
0.72
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−199.2 pp
101.7%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.8%
−13.0 pp
81.8%
Bot %51.0%
−7.1 pp
58.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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