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Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 8?

data as of 2026-05-08 17:57 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.8K−$21K$23K
Holders135−290425
Trades564−277841
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.3%
−32.4 pp
75.6%
Avg ROI4.1%
−0.5 pp
4.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.27
+32.59×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×28.41
+27.66×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$144
−$1.6K
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.02
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−138.9 pp
42.1%
Underwater %94.0%
+94.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.5%
+0.6 pp
21.9%
Bot %27.2%
+5.3 pp
21.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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