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Will Pope Leo XIV attend the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

data as of 2026-07-04 22:41 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$16+$16$0
Holders11+110
Trades14+131
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.7%
+27.7 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI48.3%
+48.3 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.00
+10.00×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.74
+11.74×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$27
−$27
Recent buyer dominance0.00
+0.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.5%
−91.5 pp
0.0%
Underwater %89.3%
+89.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.2%
+47.2 pp
0.0%
Bot %47.2%
+47.2 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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