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Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

data as of 2025-10-29 21:23 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$66K−$613K$679K
Holders735−133868
Trades13K+2.4K10K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.1%
−13.3 pp
69.4%
Avg ROI17.7%
+12.9 pp
4.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.72
+5.78×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.14
+6.22×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$306
$307
Recent buyer dominance0.51
−0.11
0.62
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.0%
−95.5 pp
8.5%
Underwater %91.6%
+90.2 pp
1.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.6%
−57.4 pp
78.0%
Bot %7.8%
−69.8 pp
77.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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