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Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-28 21:38 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jan 1, 2027Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
34¢
NO
66¢
YES
34¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.5K+$1.2K$1.4K
Holders185+14738
Trades577+216361
NO
66¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.9%
+7.7 pp
54.2%
Avg ROI6.1%
−4.6 pp
10.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.97
+1.41×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.77
+1.11×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$68
+$145
−$78
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-43.1%
−99.8 pp
56.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+91.7 pp
8.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.8%
−7.8 pp
20.6%
Bot %12.8%
−7.8 pp
20.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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