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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

data as of 2026-04-07 21:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.7K−$12K$22K
Holders177−36213
Trades2.6K−1242.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.7%
−22.6 pp
66.3%
Avg ROI-1.4%
+0.2 pp
-1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.35
−33.18×
×33.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.36
−33.51×
×33.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.9K
−$6.9K
$10.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL184.3%
+281.3 pp
-97.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.1 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %86.0%
+7.0 pp
78.9%
Bot %86.1%
+7.7 pp
78.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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