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Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on April 12?

data as of 2026-04-09 10:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6−$245$251
Holders20+146
Trades110+9515
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.6%
−48.6 pp
94.2%
Avg ROI-1.8%
−1.4 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.40
−0.67×
×1.07
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.57
−0.50×
×1.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$26
$28
Recent buyer dominance0.56
−0.44
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL83.5%
+89.3 pp
-5.8%
Underwater %0.2%
−99.8 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.8%
+0.6 pp
29.2%
Bot %31.7%
+2.6 pp
29.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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