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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 13?

data as of 2026-06-12 18:18 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$78−$737$815
Holders32+923
Trades83−588
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.4%
−3.4 pp
67.8%
Avg ROI0.0%
−0.5 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.14
+0.14×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.11
+0.11×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24
−$66
$89
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.20
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-9.1%
−11.3 pp
2.2%
Underwater %68.6%
+30.6 pp
38.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.7%
+12.2 pp
4.5%
Bot %18.1%
+13.7 pp
4.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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