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Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by end of 2026?

data as of 2026-01-02 23:45 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
8¢
NO
92¢
YES
8¢
YesY-NNo
Position$539−$133$671
Holders39+2712
Trades295−552847
NO
92¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.8%
−17.0 pp
56.8%
Avg ROI7.6%
−0.5 pp
8.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.25
+0.28×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.26
+0.30×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$71
−$71
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−0.25
0.25
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-20.6%
−24.5 pp
3.8%
Underwater %96.1%
+96.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.3%
−60.9 pp
99.2%
Bot %45.9%
−53.3 pp
99.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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