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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-14 02:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.8K+$3.4K$5.5K
Holders167+23144
Trades1.8K−1221.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−3.7 pp
51.6%
Avg ROI2.3%
+2.7 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×60.14
+59.79×
×0.35
Top-20 avg cost vs price×60.72
+60.37×
×0.34
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.1K
+$1.7K
$2.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.08
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.3%
−276.3 pp
178.0%
Underwater %97.0%
+97.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.8%
−3.1 pp
75.8%
Bot %76.1%
−2.6 pp
78.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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