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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles

data as of 2026-07-11 14:33 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 18, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
49¢
NO
27¢
YES
49¢
YesY-NNo
Position$24−$24$48
Holders1−12
Trades1−23
NO
27¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.6%
+1.2 pp
48.4%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−1.2 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.02×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24
+$24
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+1.6 pp
-1.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−42.9 pp
42.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−57.1 pp
57.1%
Bot %0.0%
−57.1 pp
57.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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