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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

data as of 2026-07-27 20:34 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.6K−$9.1K$17K
Holders326−16342
Trades2.1K+1221.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−1.6 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI1.1%
+0.1 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.50
+16.83×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.77
+16.09×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.1K
−$7.7K
$14.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.2%
−146.2 pp
52.0%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.2%
+7.2 pp
36.0%
Bot %77.2%
+0.6 pp
76.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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