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Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 11PM ET

data as of 2025-08-04 22:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.7K−$4.5K$6.2K
Holders27+1116
Trades205+53152
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.4%
−11.7 pp
49.1%
Avg ROI10.4%
+9.6 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.70
+0.77×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.65
+0.73×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$648
−$725
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.00
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-39.3%
−48.3 pp
8.9%
Underwater %99.3%
+97.0 pp
2.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.7%
−58.4 pp
93.1%
Bot %34.4%
−58.7 pp
93.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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