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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 03:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$969$17K
Holders199−33232
Trades3.4K+1203.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
+0.4 pp
49.6%
Avg ROI1.0%
−3.8 pp
4.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.45
−18.22×
×18.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.45
−17.35×
×17.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.2K
−$2.7K
$9.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.08
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL121.3%
+215.4 pp
-94.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.3 pp
97.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.4%
+4.5 pp
75.9%
Bot %80.4%
+4.4 pp
76.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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