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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

data as of 2026-04-20 06:30 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K−$26K$48K
Holders494+132362
Trades6.4K+1.2K5.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.6%
−13.4 pp
62.0%
Avg ROI6.9%
−36.5 pp
43.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.05
+0.37×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
+0.18×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.6K
−$25.0K
$38.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL6.7%
−28.0 pp
34.8%
Underwater %70.7%
+64.4 pp
6.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.6%
−9.1 pp
62.7%
Bot %54.3%
−9.1 pp
63.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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