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Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 47 million views on day 2?

data as of 2026-04-06 07:09 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.5K−$73K$74K
Holders95+2867
Trades916+268648
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.5%
−49.7 pp
82.2%
Avg ROI53.2%
+49.5 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.47
+12.48×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.61
+20.64×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$3.5K
$3.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.09
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.4%
−99.6 pp
3.2%
Underwater %98.3%
+98.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.8%
−10.7 pp
16.5%
Bot %3.3%
−13.2 pp
16.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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