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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 15?

data as of 2026-05-15 05:24 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$182−$9.9K$10K
Holders103−56159
Trades657+120537
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.1%
−40.3 pp
78.4%
Avg ROI8.5%
+7.9 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.02×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.02
+1.05×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$17
$18
Recent buyer dominance0.61
−0.03
0.64
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-54.3%
−57.4 pp
3.1%
Underwater %92.7%
+91.5 pp
1.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.9%
+6.2 pp
12.7%
Bot %17.2%
+4.5 pp
12.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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