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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 17:34 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K−$14K$34K
Holders453+65388
Trades3.5K+1643.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.6%
+1.3 pp
48.3%
Avg ROI4.0%
+2.5 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×23.50
+22.92×
×0.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.91
+22.33×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.1K
−$2.8K
$21.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−165.5 pp
70.0%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.1%
−1.1 pp
43.2%
Bot %62.7%
−1.4 pp
64.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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