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Ethereum Up or Down on September 30?

data as of 2025-09-30 06:38 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$3.6K$17K
Holders16−117
Trades457+106351
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.4%
−7.9 pp
60.3%
Avg ROI-0.4%
+1.1 pp
-1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.95
−0.24×
×1.19
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.90
−0.28×
×1.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$67
+$39
$29
Recent buyer dominance0.71
−0.29
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL10.7%
+27.5 pp
-16.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−80.3 pp
80.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.6%
−17.6 pp
93.2%
Bot %75.6%
−17.6 pp
93.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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