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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

data as of 2026-02-17 03:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.1K−$12K$18K
Holders543+214329
Trades3.0K+5282.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.5%
−17.9 pp
61.4%
Avg ROI4.2%
+3.0 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.14
+8.32×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.06
+7.29×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.1K
−$8.8K
$14.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.09
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.9%
−117.1 pp
28.2%
Underwater %93.5%
+93.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.5%
−22.1 pp
76.6%
Bot %50.2%
−26.2 pp
76.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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