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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2AM ET

data as of 2026-03-09 06:35 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.6K−$27K$32K
Holders171+54117
Trades1.9K+1831.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.5%
−5.2 pp
56.7%
Avg ROI2.5%
+1.0 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.42
+8.59×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.79
+9.03×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$79
−$2.1K
$2.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.10
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.9%
−120.2 pp
28.3%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.3%
+4.0 pp
54.2%
Bot %58.3%
+4.2 pp
54.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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