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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 05:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$4.1K$11K
Holders314−31345
Trades2.4K−432.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.4%
−1.1 pp
51.6%
Avg ROI0.4%
+1.0 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−20.92×
×21.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−21.07×
×21.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.4K
+$1.3K
$11.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.05
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL68.0%
+163.1 pp
-95.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.4%
+0.4 pp
43.0%
Bot %61.4%
+3.5 pp
57.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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