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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

data as of 2026-03-22 18:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$17K$28K
Holders300+10290
Trades3.6K−333.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.0%
−13.5 pp
58.5%
Avg ROI-4.0%
−4.2 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.10
+13.39×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.54
+12.84×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.6K
−$7.7K
$9.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.05
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.9%
−136.0 pp
43.1%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.6%
+1.9 pp
70.7%
Bot %72.1%
+2.3 pp
69.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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