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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 17?

data as of 2026-07-15 05:07 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 17, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
48¢
NO
52¢
YES
48¢
YesY-NNo
Position$27−$22$49
Holders6−511
Trades7−815
NO
52¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.2%
−20.8 pp
53.9%
Avg ROI-2.0%
+32.2 pp
-34.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$0
$2
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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