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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

data as of 2026-05-05 18:26 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.9K−$9.5K$12K
Holders164+43121
Trades1.2K+273947
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate69.1%
+5.0 pp
64.1%
Avg ROI1.5%
+2.2 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.74
+9.95×
×0.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.71
+12.91×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$726
−$2.4K
$3.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.14
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.4%
−121.1 pp
27.6%
Underwater %80.2%
+80.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.2%
−25.0 pp
75.2%
Bot %55.6%
−24.3 pp
79.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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