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U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-20 23:36 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.3K+$1.1K$2.2K
Holders67+265
Trades765+61704
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.9%
−9.2 pp
65.1%
Avg ROI7.7%
+0.0 pp
7.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.88
−0.44×
×1.32
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.86
−0.54×
×1.40
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$36
−$2
$38
Recent buyer dominance0.75
−0.01
0.76
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.6%
+48.0 pp
-26.4%
Underwater %6.1%
−88.7 pp
94.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.1%
+19.9 pp
39.1%
Bot %62.2%
+22.0 pp
40.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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